FA Cup 1/128
Global 1-4
Rotherham United vs Aldershot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
23.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rotherham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
GIL
4 - 0
ROT
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
STO
2 - 0
ROT
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
ALD
1 - 1
ROT
39%
25%
36%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2008 |
ROT
2 - 0
LEI
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
ROT
0 - 0
WYC
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
ALD
1 - 0
EXE
40%
25%
35%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
ALD
1 - 1
ROT
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
MOR
2 - 0
ALD
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
ALD
1 - 0
POR
58%
23%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
ROC
3 - 1
ALD
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |