Roteña vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
59%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roteña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
UDR
2 - 0
COR
72%
16%
12%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
XER
0 - 4
UDR
52%
23%
25%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
UDR
1 - 0
CDR
48%
23%
29%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CCF
0 - 1
UDR
40%
24%
36%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
UDR
5 - 1
VIL
67%
18%
15%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
ALC
3 - 2
CEU
36%
28%
36%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SRO
0 - 0
ALC
48%
25%
27%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 1
CAD
62%
22%
16%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2015 |
SEV
1 - 1
ALC
51%
25%
24%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 0
MAI
51%
25%
24%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |