Rot-Weiss Essen vs Wattenscheid 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
10.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
ROT
3 - 3
KFC
68%
18%
14%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
AAA
1 - 0
ROT
34%
25%
41%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1978 |
ROT
2 - 0
PRE
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1978 |
HAN
1 - 3
ROT
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1978 |
ROT
4 - 2
RWL
85%
10%
5%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
WAT
0 - 0
USO
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
DSC
2 - 3
WAT
45%
25%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
WAT
1 - 1
VIK
88%
9%
3%
|
62 | 38 | 24 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1978 |
STP
2 - 0
WAT
65%
20%
16%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1978 |
WAT
0 - 2
WUP
61%
22%
18%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |