Rot-Weiss Essen vs Viktoria Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
16.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
ROT
1 - 1
ROT
49%
23%
28%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
KOL
1 - 0
ROT
72%
15%
13%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
ROT
1 - 0
F95
58%
21%
21%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
MSV
2 - 1
ROT
55%
22%
24%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1959 |
ROT
1 - 0
S04
59%
21%
21%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
VIK
1 - 5
DUI
73%
15%
12%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1959 |
KOL
2 - 2
VIK
79%
12%
9%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
WHE
3 - 1
VIK
66%
18%
16%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
VIK
2 - 0
MON
84%
10%
6%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
PRE
2 - 1
VIK
64%
18%
18%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |