Rot-Weiss Essen vs VfR Bürstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.2%
Win probability
4.11
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.1%
7-0
2.8%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.3%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
2.3%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7.7%
5-0
7%
6-1
4%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
12.1%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
5.8%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.8%
6.2%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.2%
3.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1977 |
EBT
6 - 0
ROT
61%
20%
19%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1977 |
ROT
5 - 3
F95
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1977 |
ROT
1 - 8
EIN
35%
23%
42%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1977 |
BYM
5 - 1
ROT
74%
15%
11%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1977 |
ROT
3 - 2
KAI
49%
22%
29%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Bürstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 1975 |
BUR
1 - 2
BAY
31%
21%
48%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1974 |
BUR
2 - 1
BAY
36%
25%
38%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1974 |
MUN
5 - 1
BUR
82%
13%
6%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1974 |
BUR
0 - 0
SSV
66%
19%
16%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1974 |
HES
1 - 1
BUR
65%
20%
16%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |