Rot-Weiss Essen vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1983 |
ROT
1 - 1
S04
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1983 |
HES
2 - 0
ROT
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1983 |
ROT
0 - 5
SAA
76%
15%
9%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 1983 |
ROT
2 - 2
ROT
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1983 |
ROT
4 - 0
BVL
70%
17%
13%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1983 |
KÖL
2 - 1
ULM
74%
16%
10%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1983 |
ULM
1 - 2
AAA
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1983 |
WAT
1 - 1
ULM
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1983 |
ULM
2 - 2
KSC
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1983 |
SCF
1 - 1
ULM
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |