Rot-Weiss Essen vs SV Leiwen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.7%
Win probability
4.56
Expected goals
10-0
0.6%
+10
0.6%
9-0
1.3%
10-1
0.4%
+9
1.6%
8-0
2.5%
9-1
0.8%
10-2
0.1%
+8
3.5%
7-0
4.4%
8-1
1.7%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
6.3%
6-0
6.7%
7-1
2.9%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
10.2%
5-0
8.8%
6-1
4.5%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
14.4%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
5.9%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
17.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.6%
3.9%
Draw
0-0
0.5%
1-1
1.6%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
3.9%
1.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
ROT
1 - 0
SVS
54%
22%
24%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
ROT
1 - 2
S04
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1981 |
HES
7 - 3
ROT
48%
24%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
ROT
0 - 2
SCF
72%
16%
11%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
KÖL
2 - 0
ROT
57%
21%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
SV Leiwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
SVL
3 - 2
SCH
16%
23%
62%
|
13 | 52 | 39 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1978 |
PRE
6 - 0
SVL
89%
7%
4%
|
13 | 70 | 57 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1974 |
PFO
5 - 3
SVL
86%
11%
3%
|
13 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1974 |
SVL
2 - 2
PFO
17%
25%
58%
|
10 | 44 | 34 | +3 |