Rot-Weiss Essen vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
16.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1987 |
EBT
2 - 0
ROT
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1987 |
ROT
3 - 1
WAT
58%
22%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1987 |
ULM
0 - 1
ROT
46%
27%
28%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1987 |
ROT
4 - 1
HES
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 1986 |
ROT
3 - 1
ROT
54%
22%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1987 |
VIK
1 - 4
SCF
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
AAA
1 - 1
SCF
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1986 |
STP
2 - 1
SCF
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1986 |
SCF
2 - 2
EBT
55%
23%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1986 |
SCF
5 - 1
WAT
51%
25%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |