DFB Pokal 1/16
Global 4-2
Rot-Weiss Essen vs Reutlingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.6%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9%
3.4%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1988 |
SAA
0 - 2
ROT
56%
23%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1988 |
ROT
2 - 1
OSN
60%
21%
19%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1988 |
REU
1 - 1
ROT
18%
22%
61%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1988 |
DAR
0 - 2
ROT
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
ROT
0 - 3
HOM
51%
24%
26%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Reutlingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1988 |
REU
1 - 1
ROT
18%
22%
61%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1988 |
REU
2 - 1
HAM
52%
22%
26%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
REU
2 - 4
SSV
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +4 |
| 05 Jun. 1976 |
PIR
2 - 1
REU
90%
8%
2%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1976 |
REU
0 - 1
SAA
17%
23%
60%
|
44 | 74 | 30 | -1 |