Rot-Weiss Essen vs Preußen Münster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1989 |
HER
2 - 1
ROT
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1989 |
ROT
3 - 3
KÖL
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1989 |
WAT
1 - 0
ROT
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1989 |
ROT
1 - 2
SAA
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
AAA
0 - 1
ROT
50%
26%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Preußen Münster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1989 |
PRE
1 - 4
OSN
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1989 |
SCF
0 - 2
PRE
68%
19%
14%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1989 |
PRE
2 - 0
BWB
26%
27%
46%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1989 |
UNT
3 - 0
PRE
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
PRE
2 - 1
MEP
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |