Rot-Weiss Essen vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1989 |
SVS
4 - 1
ROT
69%
18%
13%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1989 |
ROT
3 - 0
BAY
55%
24%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1989 |
DAR
2 - 1
ROT
55%
24%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1989 |
ROT
1 - 1
PRE
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1989 |
HER
2 - 1
ROT
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1989 |
MSV
4 - 1
DAR
45%
23%
32%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1989 |
MSV
1 - 0
OSN
36%
26%
37%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 1989 |
SCF
2 - 2
MSV
66%
19%
15%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 1989 |
MSV
2 - 2
BWB
36%
26%
38%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1989 |
UNT
1 - 1
MSV
46%
26%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |