Rot-Weiss Essen vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
ROT
3 - 4
HAN
59%
19%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
HAN
0 - 1
ROT
62%
21%
18%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1983 |
ROT
4 - 1
HER
45%
25%
31%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 1983 |
OSN
1 - 0
ROT
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1983 |
ROT
1 - 1
USO
68%
18%
14%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
MSV
1 - 2
KAI
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
MSV
3 - 2
KÖL
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1983 |
AAA
2 - 1
MSV
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1983 |
MSV
3 - 0
WAT
59%
23%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 1983 |
KSC
0 - 0
MSV
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |