Rot-Weiss Essen vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1974 |
KAI
2 - 0
ROT
66%
19%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1974 |
ROT
3 - 2
TEN
67%
18%
15%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1974 |
EIN
9 - 1
ROT
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1974 |
ROT
1 - 3
MON
23%
23%
54%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1974 |
BRE
0 - 0
ROT
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1974 |
MSV
2 - 0
HSV
38%
27%
36%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1974 |
MSV
3 - 2
KAI
36%
25%
38%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1974 |
TEN
2 - 3
MSV
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1974 |
MSV
1 - 3
EIN
30%
27%
44%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1974 |
MON
4 - 1
MSV
85%
10%
5%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |