Rot-Weiss Essen vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
43.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1966 |
ROT
1 - 3
STU
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1966 |
EBT
0 - 0
ROT
71%
19%
11%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1966 |
ROT
1 - 3
KOL
25%
24%
50%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1966 |
MUN
1 - 0
ROT
83%
11%
6%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1966 |
ROT
0 - 1
BRE
25%
24%
51%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1966 |
MSV
0 - 1
KSC
65%
20%
16%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1966 |
MON
3 - 3
MSV
44%
25%
32%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1966 |
HAN
3 - 0
MSV
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1966 |
MSV
1 - 1
F95
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1966 |
BYM
2 - 1
MSV
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |