Rot-Weiss Essen vs VfB Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
VFB
2 - 1
ROT
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1996 |
ROT
1 - 4
KAI
9%
22%
69%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
KÖL
1 - 1
ROT
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
GUT
2 - 3
ROT
51%
25%
25%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1996 |
ROT
4 - 1
LOK
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
LUB
2 - 3
GUT
49%
25%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
LOK
0 - 0
LUB
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
LUB
1 - 4
HER
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1996 |
WOL
0 - 0
LUB
72%
18%
11%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1996 |
LUB
0 - 2
M05
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |