Rot-Weiss Essen vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 3
ROT
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
ROT
5 - 0
KFC
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
ROT
1 - 3
H05
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
WAT
0 - 3
ROT
27%
25%
48%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
ROT
2 - 1
SPO
58%
23%
20%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
DIE
4 - 0
H05
54%
22%
25%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
WAT
5 - 1
DIE
46%
24%
31%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
DIE
0 - 0
SPO
34%
27%
40%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
VER
0 - 1
DIE
65%
20%
14%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
DIE
0 - 1
ROD
35%
26%
40%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |