Rot-Weiss Essen vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
LIP
1 - 3
ROT
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
ROT
2 - 0
VER
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
KÖL
2 - 1
ROT
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
ROT
0 - 2
S04
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
WAT
1 - 0
ROT
28%
24%
48%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
DIE
3 - 0
LIP
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
VER
0 - 2
DIE
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
DIE
0 - 2
KÖL
22%
26%
52%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
S04
0 - 1
DIE
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
DIE
2 - 0
WAT
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |