Rot-Weiss Essen vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
FCR
1 - 1
ROT
32%
26%
43%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1997 |
EIN
4 - 1
ROT
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
ROT
0 - 1
BSC
76%
15%
9%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1997 |
PRE
0 - 1
ROT
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
ROT
0 - 5
VER
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1997 |
HOM
4 - 1
EIN
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
BSC
2 - 1
HOM
22%
23%
56%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
HOM
3 - 1
PRE
45%
25%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
VER
3 - 1
HOM
37%
25%
38%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
HOM
6 - 0
GET
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |