Rot-Weiss Essen vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1988 |
EBT
2 - 1
ROT
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
ROT
3 - 1
AAA
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1988 |
F95
2 - 0
ROT
68%
19%
14%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1988 |
ROT
2 - 1
S04
51%
23%
26%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 1988 |
BWB
2 - 0
ROT
60%
22%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1988 |
HOM
3 - 0
BAY
62%
20%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
EBT
2 - 1
HOM
48%
25%
28%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1988 |
AAA
2 - 2
HOM
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1988 |
HOM
6 - 2
USO
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 1988 |
LEM
0 - 4
HOM
7%
16%
78%
|
70 | 8 | 62 | 0 |