Rot-Weiss Essen vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
HAM
0 - 4
ROT
24%
26%
50%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
ROT
5 - 2
WUP
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
SGD
0 - 0
ROT
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2004 |
ROT
5 - 1
VFR
73%
18%
10%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
ROT
1 - 0
STP
53%
23%
23%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
PRE
2 - 1
HOL
50%
24%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
HOL
2 - 0
HAM
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
WUP
2 - 1
HOL
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2004 |
HOL
1 - 1
SGD
43%
27%
31%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
STP
1 - 2
HOL
61%
21%
17%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |