Rot-Weiss Essen vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
6.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1979 |
PRE
1 - 1
ROT
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1979 |
ROT
5 - 1
WUP
83%
12%
6%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1979 |
ARB
3 - 1
ROT
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1979 |
ROT
1 - 2
ROT
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1979 |
MON
4 - 0
ROT
82%
11%
7%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1979 |
WUP
3 - 2
HOL
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1979 |
HOL
2 - 1
OSV
75%
14%
11%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1979 |
OSC
0 - 1
HOL
47%
22%
31%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
EBT
3 - 1
HOL
79%
13%
8%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1979 |
HOL
0 - 1
SCH
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |