Rot-Weiss Essen vs Hamburger SV II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
VER
1 - 2
ROT
32%
26%
41%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2003 |
DIE
2 - 1
ROT
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
ROT
0 - 4
WAT
46%
24%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
PRE
0 - 3
ROT
29%
25%
46%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2002 |
SGD
1 - 1
ROT
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Hamburger SV II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
HAM
1 - 2
WAT
16%
21%
63%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
PRE
2 - 1
HAM
61%
20%
19%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
HAM
0 - 0
CHE
37%
27%
36%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
SGD
0 - 0
HAM
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
HAM
2 - 1
BAB
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |