Rot-Weiss Essen vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 2
ROT
31%
26%
44%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
ROT
0 - 4
BOR
24%
23%
53%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
S04
2 - 3
ROT
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ROT
0 - 0
IDA
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
VER
2 - 1
ROT
38%
26%
35%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2012 |
KÖL
1 - 0
BOR
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
VER
3 - 0
KÖL
45%
26%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
KÖL
3 - 1
TUS
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ELV
2 - 1
KÖL
37%
27%
36%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
KÖL
1 - 1
DIE
32%
24%
44%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |