Rot-Weiss Essen vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
12.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2011 |
ROT
1 - 1
AAA
71%
19%
11%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
SPE
1 - 2
ROT
15%
24%
61%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
ROT
3 - 2
WHE
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
ROT
1 - 3
WEG
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 21 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 2
ROT
16%
24%
60%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
KÖL
2 - 0
WHE
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SPE
2 - 2
KÖL
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
KÖL
1 - 0
WEG
78%
15%
7%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 1
KÖL
30%
25%
45%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
KÖL
3 - 1
GEW
35%
26%
39%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +2 |