Rot-Weiss Essen vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
45.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1997 |
ROT
2 - 2
GUT
33%
26%
42%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
LOK
2 - 0
ROT
60%
23%
18%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
ROT
2 - 1
HER
24%
26%
50%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
WOL
5 - 1
ROT
71%
19%
11%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1997 |
ROT
0 - 2
M05
27%
26%
47%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
KÖL
3 - 1
UNT
49%
26%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1997 |
GUT
1 - 0
KÖL
36%
27%
38%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1997 |
KÖL
0 - 0
MEP
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
LOK
4 - 1
KÖL
42%
27%
32%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1997 |
KÖL
0 - 0
EIN
35%
26%
40%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |