Rot-Weiss Essen vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1993 |
KFC
2 - 0
ROT
52%
25%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1993 |
FCB
2 - 3
ROT
38%
25%
36%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1993 |
ROT
0 - 0
STP
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1993 |
WUP
0 - 0
ROT
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1993 |
ROT
0 - 2
RTV
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1993 |
KÖL
0 - 0
ROS
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1993 |
SCF
4 - 1
KÖL
76%
15%
10%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1993 |
MEP
4 - 2
KÖL
40%
30%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 1993 |
KÖL
0 - 1
CHE
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1993 |
HOM
1 - 2
KÖL
51%
26%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |