Rot-Weiss Essen vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
36.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1984 |
AAA
1 - 1
ROT
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1984 |
ROT
1 - 1
WAT
58%
21%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1984 |
KSC
3 - 0
ROT
69%
18%
13%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1984 |
ROT
1 - 1
SCF
56%
23%
22%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1984 |
MSV
1 - 1
ROT
64%
20%
15%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1984 |
DAR
1 - 5
KÖL
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1984 |
KÖL
2 - 0
AAA
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1984 |
WAT
4 - 2
KÖL
37%
26%
38%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1984 |
KÖL
1 - 3
KSC
57%
21%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1984 |
SCF
0 - 0
KÖL
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |