Rot-Weiss Essen vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
16.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1980 |
VIK
1 - 1
ROT
47%
23%
30%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1980 |
ROT
4 - 1
VFB
84%
11%
6%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1980 |
TEN
1 - 0
ROT
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1980 |
ROT
3 - 1
KSC
46%
21%
34%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1980 |
KSC
5 - 1
ROT
66%
17%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1980 |
KÖL
3 - 1
HER
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1980 |
PRE
3 - 2
KÖL
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1980 |
KÖL
2 - 1
USO
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1980 |
KÖL
2 - 2
VIK
68%
18%
14%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1980 |
RWL
1 - 4
KÖL
34%
27%
39%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |