Rot-Weiss Essen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
69.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
ROT
0 - 3
WIE
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2015 |
HAM
1 - 4
ROT
22%
25%
54%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
ROT
1 - 2
DIE
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 3
ROT
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
ROT
5 - 0
KFC
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
F95
1 - 2
PAD
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
FCU
1 - 1
F95
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
F95
4 - 3
IPS
48%
24%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
LOK
2 - 0
F95
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
FEY
2 - 0
F95
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |