Rot-Weiss Essen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
MSV
2 - 1
ROT
55%
22%
24%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1959 |
ROT
1 - 0
S04
59%
21%
21%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
PRE
1 - 2
ROT
60%
20%
20%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
RTV
1 - 2
ROT
65%
19%
17%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
ROT
2 - 2
WHE
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
F95
4 - 2
SVS
87%
9%
5%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
AAA
1 - 5
F95
67%
18%
15%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
F95
5 - 2
VIK
74%
14%
12%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
DUI
1 - 2
F95
63%
19%
18%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
WHE
3 - 1
F95
64%
19%
17%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |