Rot-Weiss Essen vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
SAC
0 - 2
ROT
18%
25%
58%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
ROT
3 - 1
BOR
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
S04
0 - 7
ROT
26%
25%
48%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
ROT
3 - 1
PAD
61%
22%
18%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
CHE
1 - 4
ROT
26%
27%
48%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
ERZ
3 - 3
UNT
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
LUB
2 - 2
ERZ
47%
25%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
ERZ
2 - 1
MSV
37%
27%
37%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
SGF
5 - 1
ERZ
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
ERZ
1 - 1
ARB
29%
28%
43%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |