Rot-Weiss Essen vs SpVgg Erkenschwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1998 |
RWA
4 - 1
ROT
70%
17%
13%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
ROT
3 - 3
PAD
42%
26%
33%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
SPO
4 - 1
ROT
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1998 |
WUP
2 - 0
ROT
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
ROT
0 - 1
AAA
49%
25%
27%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1998 |
ERK
3 - 2
EIN
31%
26%
43%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
BSC
0 - 1
ERK
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
ERK
1 - 6
PRE
35%
25%
39%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1998 |
VER
2 - 1
ERK
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1998 |
ERK
2 - 1
GET
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |