Rot-Weiss Essen vs B. Mönchengladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
53.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 1973 |
OFC
1 - 1
ROT
69%
18%
13%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1972 |
HSV
5 - 0
ROT
57%
20%
24%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1972 |
ROT
5 - 3
HSV
43%
20%
37%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1972 |
VIK
2 - 2
ROT
18%
25%
57%
|
70 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
ROT
0 - 5
WUP
66%
19%
15%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 1973 |
MON
3 - 1
KÖL
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1973 |
MON
2 - 1
KOL
72%
15%
13%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1973 |
MON
3 - 4
STU
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1973 |
HSV
4 - 0
MON
33%
25%
42%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1973 |
KOL
3 - 1
MON
46%
24%
30%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |