Rot-Weiss Essen vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
36.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1970 |
HER
1 - 1
ROT
69%
19%
13%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1970 |
ROT
1 - 1
STU
39%
25%
35%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1970 |
MSV
1 - 0
ROT
52%
26%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1970 |
ROT
0 - 1
EBT
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1970 |
BRE
1 - 1
ROT
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1970 |
BVB
0 - 1
BRE
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1970 |
OFC
3 - 0
BVB
46%
23%
31%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1970 |
BVB
3 - 1
HER
44%
25%
30%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1970 |
STU
6 - 1
BVB
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1970 |
BVB
5 - 1
MSV
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |