Rot-Weiss Essen vs VfL Bochum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
21.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
ROT
2 - 1
EBT
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1976 |
F95
4 - 4
ROT
60%
21%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
EIN
3 - 1
ROT
74%
15%
11%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1976 |
ROT
1 - 4
BYM
29%
22%
49%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1976 |
KAI
7 - 1
ROT
60%
21%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
VfL Bochum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1976 |
RTV
4 - 2
HSV
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1976 |
S04
3 - 1
RTV
72%
16%
12%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
RTV
1 - 2
KOL
38%
24%
38%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1976 |
TEN
1 - 1
RTV
52%
23%
24%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1976 |
RTV
1 - 1
EBT
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |