Rot-Weiss Essen vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
28.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1981 |
FRE
3 - 1
ROT
55%
22%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
ROT
1 - 0
USO
72%
17%
12%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1981 |
OSN
1 - 1
ROT
50%
23%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1981 |
ROT
1 - 4
MUN
49%
23%
27%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1981 |
OFC
2 - 1
ROT
66%
19%
16%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
LEV
0 - 0
STU
31%
25%
44%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1981 |
LEV
5 - 0
KOL
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 1981 |
MSV
2 - 1
LEV
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1981 |
LEV
0 - 3
HSV
20%
23%
57%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1981 |
EIN
3 - 2
LEV
72%
16%
12%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |