Rot-Weiss Essen vs B. Leverkusen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
ROT
1 - 0
EIN
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
ELV
0 - 0
ROT
31%
28%
41%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
ROT
0 - 3
WWO
65%
21%
13%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
SAA
1 - 1
ROT
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
DIE
0 - 1
ROT
38%
28%
34%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
BAY
1 - 0
S04
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2010 |
ELV
1 - 0
BAY
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
EIN
1 - 2
BAY
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
BAY
1 - 0
KAI
32%
25%
44%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
BAY
1 - 1
MAI
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |