Rot-Weiss Essen vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
33.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1994 |
ROT
0 - 2
RTV
34%
25%
41%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1994 |
ERK
1 - 1
ROT
49%
25%
27%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1994 |
ROT
2 - 2
HAU
79%
14%
8%
|
61 | 26 | 35 | -2 |
| 31 Jul. 1994 |
AAA
1 - 1
ROT
46%
26%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1994 |
ROT
0 - 2
HAN
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1994 |
ARB
3 - 0
BSC
72%
19%
9%
|
70 | 36 | 34 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1994 |
EDE
0 - 2
ARB
26%
27%
47%
|
71 | 30 | 41 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 1994 |
ARB
0 - 0
WAT
67%
21%
12%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1994 |
GUT
0 - 2
ARB
34%
28%
38%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1994 |
ARB
4 - 2
TSG
71%
19%
9%
|
73 | 43 | 30 | 0 |