Rot-Weiss Essen vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1980 |
KÖL
2 - 1
ROT
57%
21%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1979 |
DSC
3 - 6
ROT
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1979 |
ROT
0 - 0
VIK
82%
12%
6%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1979 |
USO
1 - 2
ROT
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1979 |
RWL
0 - 1
ROT
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1980 |
ARB
6 - 0
DSC
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1980 |
BVB
3 - 1
ARB
73%
15%
13%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1979 |
ARB
2 - 2
USO
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1979 |
AHA
0 - 2
ARB
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1979 |
ARB
3 - 0
HOL
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |