Rot-Weiss Essen vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1981 |
OSN
4 - 0
ROT
48%
23%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1981 |
ROT
2 - 2
WAT
75%
15%
11%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1981 |
HAN
4 - 1
ROT
54%
22%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1981 |
ROT
5 - 4
RWL
87%
9%
4%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1981 |
BRE
1 - 0
ROT
69%
17%
14%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1981 |
AAA
0 - 1
EBT
40%
26%
35%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1981 |
AAA
3 - 1
ISC
76%
16%
8%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1981 |
KÖL
0 - 1
AAA
63%
20%
16%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1981 |
AAA
4 - 2
VIK
66%
20%
15%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1981 |
VFB
1 - 0
AAA
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |