Rot-Weiss Essen vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
ROT
2 - 2
VIK
65%
18%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
ROT
1 - 1
ROT
49%
23%
28%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
KOL
1 - 0
ROT
72%
15%
13%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
ROT
1 - 0
F95
58%
21%
21%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
MSV
2 - 1
ROT
55%
22%
24%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
AAA
3 - 2
DUI
69%
17%
14%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
AAA
3 - 1
SVS
82%
12%
7%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
MSV
5 - 1
AAA
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
AAA
1 - 2
KOL
61%
20%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
S04
0 - 0
AAA
70%
17%
13%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |