Rot-Weiss Essen vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
48.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1970 |
S04
4 - 1
ROT
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
ROT
3 - 3
ROT
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1970 |
BYM
2 - 2
ROT
81%
13%
6%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1970 |
ROT
4 - 0
KAI
44%
25%
30%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1970 |
ARB
0 - 0
ROT
37%
28%
36%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1970 |
KOL
2 - 2
BVB
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1970 |
KOL
5 - 1
SED
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
HER
3 - 2
KOL
48%
24%
28%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1970 |
KOL
2 - 1
STU
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1970 |
OFC
2 - 1
KOL
42%
24%
34%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | -1 |