Rot Weiss Ahlen vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
54.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot Weiss Ahlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
RWA
1 - 3
AUG
30%
26%
44%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
TUS
1 - 1
RWA
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
RWA
0 - 2
ROS
29%
25%
47%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
FCU
2 - 1
RWA
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
RWA
2 - 3
SGF
27%
24%
49%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
SGF
1 - 0
STU
26%
23%
52%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
SGF
1 - 2
TUS
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2009 |
FCU
1 - 2
SGF
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
SGF
2 - 1
F95
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ROS
4 - 0
SGF
35%
27%
39%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |