Rot Weiss Ahlen vs SpVgg Erkenschwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
33.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+104%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot Weiss Ahlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
RWA
2 - 1
ENN
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
GUT
2 - 2
RWA
57%
21%
21%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
RWA
3 - 2
NEU
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ERN
3 - 1
RWA
49%
22%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
RWA
3 - 2
HEV
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ERK
3 - 1
GIE
81%
13%
7%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ERK
4 - 0
ABI
17%
21%
62%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +3 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
HAM
0 - 0
ERK
49%
23%
28%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ERK
5 - 0
WAT
16%
21%
63%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | +3 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ENN
3 - 2
ERK
30%
23%
48%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |