Rot Weiss Ahlen vs Arminia Bielefeld II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot Weiss Ahlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SCH
6 - 3
RWA
17%
21%
63%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
RWA
0 - 2
MSV
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SPE
4 - 2
RWA
24%
23%
53%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
BER
4 - 1
RWA
16%
22%
62%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -3 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
RWA
0 - 1
VIK
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
MSV
1 - 1
ABI
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ABI
0 - 4
VIK
20%
23%
57%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ABI
2 - 2
ERN
75%
16%
10%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
WER
0 - 3
ABI
31%
23%
45%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ABI
2 - 1
SWE
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |