Rot Weiss Ahlen II vs Sportfreunde Lotte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
39.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot Weiss Ahlen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
SCH
0 - 5
RWA
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
RWA
2 - 2
ERH
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
FBI
1 - 0
RWA
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
RWA
2 - 0
HAS
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
KOR
1 - 5
RWA
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Sportfreunde Lotte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
SPO
2 - 0
SPR
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
LIP
1 - 1
SPO
30%
24%
46%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
SPO
1 - 1
SVE
58%
22%
20%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
GUT
0 - 0
SPO
31%
24%
45%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
SPO
3 - 0
SPS
73%
17%
11%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |