Rot-Weiß Oberhausen vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
5.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
STR
1 - 1
ROT
25%
24%
51%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ROT
1 - 1
BER
83%
12%
5%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
ROD
0 - 0
ROT
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
ROT
0 - 0
S04
73%
17%
11%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
BOR
1 - 3
ROT
27%
23%
50%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
VFB
2 - 2
BOR
15%
20%
66%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
PRE
2 - 1
VFB
84%
12%
5%
|
29 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
VFB
1 - 3
KÖL
16%
22%
62%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
FOR
4 - 0
VFB
67%
18%
16%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
VFB
0 - 2
LIP
48%
22%
29%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -2 |