Rot-Weiß Oberhausen vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
STP
5 - 1
ROT
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
SVS
1 - 0
ROT
64%
19%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
ROT
0 - 2
OSN
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
SAL
2 - 4
ROT
21%
25%
54%
|
67 | 37 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1986 |
ROT
1 - 3
BVB
44%
22%
34%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
ULM
2 - 1
SVS
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
OSN
3 - 0
ULM
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
ULM
3 - 0
SAL
88%
8%
4%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
SAA
2 - 0
ULM
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1986 |
ULM
0 - 2
KSC
42%
25%
34%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |