Rot-Weiß Oberhausen vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
33.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1986 |
ROT
1 - 0
SAA
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1986 |
KSC
3 - 2
ROT
59%
21%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 1986 |
ROT
1 - 2
HAN
51%
23%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1986 |
USO
5 - 3
ROT
50%
24%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 1986 |
ROT
2 - 0
ROT
62%
21%
18%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1986 |
WAL
2 - 1
BVB
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1986 |
BVB
0 - 0
LEV
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1986 |
BYM
2 - 2
BVB
81%
12%
7%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1986 |
BVB
8 - 0
KÖL
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1986 |
BVB
3 - 1
KÖL
62%
19%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |