Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Zwickau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
36.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
2º
14º
10º
9
8º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 69 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
1º
|
23 | 65 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 64 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 59 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 57 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 56 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 52 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 50 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 50 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
|
12º
|
10 | 43 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 42 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 42 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 42 |
13º
|
6% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 42 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
17º
|
6 | 33 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 28 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 27 |
17º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 27 |
18º
|
28.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 96% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
ERF
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ERF
0 - 4
HAL
26%
24%
50%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
VIK
1 - 1
ERF
59%
23%
19%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ERF
2 - 0
EIL
69%
18%
14%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
ERF
1 - 1
HAV
37%
23%
41%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
ZWI
3 - 0
PLA
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CHE
0 - 1
ZWI
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
ZWI
0 - 2
GRE
30%
26%
44%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HZE
5 - 0
ZWI
47%
23%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
COT
2 - 2
ZWI
68%
18%
15%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |